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Some stories in AI are too big to go untold, the white elephant in the room people talk about only when the music starts to play (e.g. the return of Jack Ma to Alibaba campuses). The rise of Alibaba Qwen is one of those stories in technology of the 2020s. š
The competition in AI between the United States and China is going to lead to a lot of progress for civilization. The capital intensive commercial approach of the West and an engineering efficiency approach by scrappy labs in China winning on cost-efficacy and price really are complementary. China now in 2025 leads in open-weight LLM innovation by a fairly sizeable margin.
Since the DeepSeek moment in January 2025, Qwenās team (Alibaba Cloud) have iterated an incredible array of open-weight models culminating recently in Qwen3-Next. Alibaba recently announced a partnership with Nvidia, and a ramping up of its Capex in AI Infrastructure and global datacenter projects beyond expectations surprising many.
Alibaba has been trending of late, even with the ADR stock up 112% year to date (YTD) . Shareholders are rewarding Alibabaās aggressive plans to expand datacenters in new locations: when at the companyās Apsara Conference 2025 last week, Alibaba Cloud announced plans to launch its first data centers in Brazil, France, and the Netherlands, with additional data centers to be added in Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, and Dubai in the coming year. When I refer to AI Supremacy, Iām primarily concerned with this AI arms race between the U.S. and China.
I asked for a deep dive into Alibabaās new life in AI and what it means for the ecosystem as a whole. Tony writes Recode China AI, one of my favorite Newsletters to track Chinaās AI breakthroughs.
Recode China AI
The recent DeepSeek series by and works by (AZW), (Hello China Tech), newly arrived and increasingly more good outlets covering China Tech (e.g. Rui Ma), comes with a lot more attention from Beijing on this platform as my Google Analytics can attest to. The way we need to think about leading U.S. and China AI labs needs to be updated now on a monthly basis (no longer Quarterly) as we await DeepSeek-R2 since DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp doesnāt seem to be much besides a DeepSeek Sparse Attention (DSA) with a cost cut. Chinaās LLM ecosystem has never looked so impressive as pesky open-source models turn to AI agentic products:
You can find the best coverage on China AI from a variety of insiders, foreign perspectives, VC firms, and Chinese Americans. Some can be overly patriotic (either of the Beijing or Washington variety), but itās still interesting reading. I consider understanding both the East and West in AI vital for a global understanding of where we are heading.
What Iām reading related to todayās topic:
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š Chinaās AI Playbook: How State Power and Open Source Are Forging a New Order in Tech
Why is Alibaba special and its stock rising so fast in 2025?
Alibaba has been aggressively advancing its AI strategy, positioning itself as a key player in both open-source models and infrastructure amid intensifying global competition. Alibaba is on track to be the āGoogle of AIā of China in Generative AI taking a full-stack, open-source, Cloud and AI Infrastructure approach.
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šŗļø Topology of āChina AIā
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š Alibaba Gets AGI-pilled on ās China Talk.
Alibabaās Cloud and Datacenter Announcements are Key in 2025
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What is Qwen?
Qwen, also known as Tongyi Qianwen (éä¹åé®), is a family of large language models (LLMs) developed by the Chinese technology company Alibaba Cloud.
š° Alibaba is suddenly trading in the AI Boom
I have huge respect for (formerly at Baidu) as an AI journalist. Iām also fairly bullish on Alibaba, and have been for a number of years. As the United States abandoned open-source in Metaās failure with Llama, only Thinking Machines by Mira Murati on the horizon looks legit in that area. This has left open-weight LLM leadership open for China who are likely to reach more of the developing world with their models now.
āAI is revolutionizing not only technology, but also the very foundation of how enterprises deliver business value and drive growth. Our strategic expansion of global infrastructure is designed to cater for the accelerating demand from forward-thinking customers.ā – Dr. Feifei Li, president of international business and SVP of Alibaba Cloud Intelligence Group
Alibaba is expanding datacenters globally in 2025 like Microsoft did in 2024, and itās sort of a big deal for the future of the geopolitics around AI.
The Geopolitics of Datacenters
Alibabaās first entry with datacenters into new regions is a sign of things to come: Datacenters in the Netherlands, France, and Brazil are now on the books. Their expansion into Europe and South America is symbolic and mirrors a China surge on the regional retreat of the U.S. to their own shores.
In a world where Alibaba is surprisingly executing on LLMs at Googleās level in 2025, what does that mean for the future of AI globally? Qwen has pushed the DeepSeek moment into overdrive prophesised by employees at Google many moons ago š. This is not an untold story but a narrative Washington doesnāt understand, and one that Silicon Valley BigTech is already losing.
AI Makes Alibaba Great Again
By – Recode China AI, September, 2025.
āMake Alibaba Great Againā has been circulating inside the company for more than a yearāand the numbers suggest itās happening.
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